Ethereum-Bitcoin Reversal Confirmed as Rare 3-Week Golden Cross Appears, Says Analyst

ETH/BTC confirms rare 3 week MACD golden cross, last seen in 2020 before major Ethereum rally vs Bitcoin.

Pair rebounds to 0.03353 BTC, up by 9.47%, with key support at 0.030 BTC and targets up to 0.070 BTC.

Momentum shift from deep lows strengthens the medium term bullish case if buying pressure holds.

Ethereum may be entering a new bullish phase against Bitcoin after a rare technical signal appeared on higher timeframes. According to analyst Merlijn The Trader, the ETH/BTC pair has confirmed a reversal with the 3 week MACD printing a golden cross

This event, which occurs only once per cycle, last happened in early 2020 before Ethereum significantly outperformed Bitcoin. Current technical conditions, the analyst noted, are stronger than in the previous setup, with cleaner fundamentals and increased market attention from institutional participants.

Price Action, Strong Recovery

In 2020, ETH/BTC traded around 0.018–0.020 BTC when the first golden cross on the MACD emerged. The shorter term moving average crossed above the longer term one, indicating the start of a sustained rally

Over the following year, the ratio climbed above 0.085 BTC. From mid-2022, the pair entered a prolonged downtrend, reaching a low of approximately 0.018 BTC in early 2025

ETH/BTC 3-week price chart, Source: Merlijn The Trader on X

However, by mid-2025, a fresh golden cross formed on both the candlestick chart and the MACD. ETH/BTC has since rebounded sharply to 0.03353 BTC, gaining 9.47% in the latest three-week candle. This recovery sets the stage for the next technical evaluation.

MACD Confirms Momentum Shift

The MACD indicator now shows its blue line crossing above the orange signal line from deeply negative territory. This pattern matches the 2020 structure, which preceded a multi-month bullish cycle. Higher timeframe golden crosses, such as on the 3-week chart, have historically carried significant weight in trend analysis.

Notably, the 2025 occurrence comes after an extended retracement, which may provide additional momentum if buying pressure continues. The sustained improvement on both the price chart and momentum indicators strengthens the reversal argument highlighted by Merlijn The Trader.

Key Levels to Watch Moving Forward

If ETH/BTC maintains levels above 0.030 BTC, historical comparisons suggest possible targets between 0.050 and 0.070 BTC. However, early breakouts can still experience pullbacks. A move below 0.025 BTC would weaken the current bullish structure.

Analyst observations emphasize that the present setup favors Ethereum’s medium-term strength over Bitcoin. The market will now watch whether the pair can sustain momentum, as the 2020 cycle’s trajectory remains a key reference point for traders assessing the potential upside.

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