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In Beijing in 2014, during the cold winter, I sat alone in my rented room, staring at the enormous loss on my account, tossing and turning. That year, I invested all my years of savings and loans into Bitcoin, but faced severe market fluctuations, becoming heavily in debt overnight.
Ten years have flown by, and when my assets finally broke through the seven-figure mark, my heart was unusually calm. This achievement is not due to luck, but rather the result of struggling to survive in the market. Today, I want to share a few survival principles I have learned over the past decade; they are not secrets to wealth, but important principles for safeguarding oneself in the coin circle.
The primary principle: go with the trend to survive. I used to be keen on buying at market lows, but the results were often not ideal. I remember the day in 2017 when Bitcoin fell sharply from its peak; I blindly increased my position, resulting in a loss of over 200,000 in a single day, almost leading to liquidation. This experience made me realize that it is wise to participate in trading only when the trend is favorable, and sometimes, staying on the sidelines is also a strategy.
Based on this, I have summarized a set of strict entry criteria:
1. The coin price must remain above the 30-day moving average for at least three days.
2. When entering the market after a significant drop, the following three conditions must be met:
- Trading volume has dropped to below 40% of the 30-day average;
- The net inflow of stablecoins continues to increase, with a weekly growth rate of over 15%;
- The contract funding rate has turned negative, and market panic is evident.
This strategy has proven effective in practice multiple times. For example, on the 11th day after the collapse of a certain well-known project, Bitcoin trading volume shrank, a large inflow of stablecoins occurred, and the funding rate turned negative. I chose to enter the market, and subsequently gained over 120% returns within three months.
The experiences of these years have made me realize that surviving in the coin circle requires not only wisdom but also discipline and patience. Avoid blindly chasing price increases and selling at losses; only through rationally analyzing market signals can one remain undefeated in this high-risk field.